Home team advantage, relations and impact of Plan Estadio Seguro in Chile

Giuliani Coluccio, Cristian Candia, Fernando Rojas-Zúñiga, Juan Vega


This study focused in understanding home team advantage in the Chilean football professional league, their antecedents and the impact of the “Plan Estadio Seguro”. We analyse data between the year 2000 and 2015 in 9210 matches of the first division of football in Chile. We use the points that won the home team as dependent variable and the distance between cities, difference of temperature between cities and “Plan Estadio Seguro” as independent variables using three-level GAMLSS model. We obtain a home team advantage of 60.6% and a probability of local win seven times more than this doesn’t exist. Also, we found that distance and temperature are not related to home team advantage and the relationship between crowd effect and home advantage is negative. Research implications are discussed


Crowd effect; GAMLSS; home team advantage

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