Home team advantage, relations and impact of Plan Estadio Seguro in Chile

Giuliani Coluccio, Cristian Candia, Fernando Rojas-Zúñiga, Juan Vega

Abstract


This study focused in understanding home team advantage in the Chilean football professional league, their antecedents and the impact of the “Plan Estadio Seguro”. We analyse data between the year 2000 and 2015 in 9210 matches of the first division of football in Chile. We use the points that won the home team as dependent variable and the distance between cities, difference of temperature between cities and “Plan Estadio Seguro” as independent variables using three-level GAMLSS model. We obtain a home team advantage of 60.6% and a probability of local win seven times more than this doesn’t exist. Also, we found that distance and temperature are not related to home team advantage and the relationship between crowd effect and home advantage is negative. Research implications are discussed

Keywords


Crowd effect; GAMLSS; home team advantage

Full Text:

PDF (Español)

References


Adams, R. ., & Kupper, S. J. (1994). The effect of expertise on peak performance: the case of home-field advantage. Journal of Sport Behavior, 17(2)

Agnew, G., & Carron, A. (1994). Crowd effects and the home advantage. International Journal of Sport Psychology, 25(1), 53-62

Barnett, V., & Hilditch, S. (1993). The effect of an artificial pitch surface on home team performance in football (soccer). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 156(1), 39-50.

Boyko, R. H., Boyko, A. R., & Boyko, M. G. (2007). Referee bias contributes to home advantage in English Premiership football. Journal of Sports Sciences, 25(11), 1185–94.

Bray, S. R., Obara, J., & Kwan, M. (2005). Batting last as a home advantage factor in men’s NCAA tournament baseball. Journal of Sports Sciences, 23(7), 681–686.

Brown Jr, T., Van Raalte, J., Brewer, B., & Winter, C. (2002). World Cup soccer home advantage. Journal of Sport Behavior, 25(2), 134.

Carmichael, F., & Thomas, D. (2005). Home-field effect and team performance evidence from English premiership football. Journal of Sports Economics, 6(3), 264–281.

Chumacero, R. (2009). Altitude or Hot Air?. Journal of Sports Economics, 10(6), 619-638.

Clarke, S. R., & Norman, J. M. (1995). Home ground advantage of individual clubs in English soccer. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D, The Statistician, 44(4), 509-521.

Dawson, P., Dobson, S., Goddard, J., & Wilson, J. (2007). Are football referees really biased and inconsistent?: Evidence on the incidence of disciplinary sanction in the English Premier League. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 170(1), 231–250.

Dosseville, F. (2007). Influence of ball type on home advantage in French professional soccer. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 104(2), 347–351.

Glamser, F. (1990). Contest location, player misconduct, and race: A case from English soccer. Journal of Sport Behavior, 13(1), 14.

Greer, D. (1983). Spectator booing and the home advantage: A study of social influence in the basketball arena. Social Psychology Quarterly, 252–261.

Jacklin, P. B. (2005). Temporal changes in home advantage in English football since the Second World War: what explains improved away performance?, Journal of Sports Sciences, 23(7), 669–679.

Johnston, R. (2008). On referee bias, crowd size, and home advantage in the English soccer Premiership. Journal of Sports Sciences, 26(6), 563–568.

Jones, M. B. (2007). Home Advantage in the NBA as a Game-Long Process. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 3(4).

Levernier, W., & Barilla, A. G. (2007). An Analysis of the Home-Field Advantage in Major League Baseball Using Logit Models: Evidence from the 2004 and 2005 Seasons. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 3(1).

Liardi, V. L., & Carron, A. V. (2011). An analysis of National Hockey League face-offs: Implications for the home advantage. International Journal of Sport & Exercise Psychology, 9(2), 102–109.

Marcelino, R., Mesquita, I., Palao, J. M., & Sampaio, J. (2009). Home advantage in high-level volleyball varies according to set number. Journal of Sports Science and Medicine, 8(3), 352–356.

Marques, A. C., & Interior, B. (2009). Estimating quality in home advantage and competitive balance in the Portuguese football league estimating quality in home advantage and competitive balance in the Portuguese football league. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 5(3).

McCullagh, P., & Nelder, J. (1989). Generalized linear models. 2nd edition. Boca Raton: Champman & Hall/CRC Press

Moore, J. C., & Brylinsky, J. A. (1993). Spectator effect on team performance in college basketball. Journal of Sport Behavior, 16(2), 77.

Morton, R, H. (2006). Home advantage in southern hemisphere rugby union: national and international. Journal of Sports Sciences, 24(5), 495–9.

Nevill, A. M., & Holder, R. L. (1999). Home advantage in sport. An overview of studies on the advantage of playing at home. Sports Medicine, 28(4), 221–236.

Nevill,A. M., Newell, S. M., & Gale, S. (1996). Factors associated with home advantage in English and Scottish soccer matches. Journal of Sports Sciences, 14(2), 181–6.

Pollard, R. (1986). Home advantage in soccer: A retrospective analysis. Journal of Sports Sciences, 4(3), 237–248.

Pollard, R. (2006). Worldwide regional variations in home advantage in association football. Journal of Sports Sciences, 24(3), 231–240.

Pollard, R. (2008). Home Advantage in Football: A Current Review of an Unsolved Puzzle. The Open Sports Sciences Journal, 1(1), 12–14.

Pollard, R., & Pollard, G. (2005). Home advantage in soccer. A review of its existence and causes. International Journal of Soccer and Science, 3(1), 28–38.

Pollard, R., Silva, C., & Medeiros, N. (2008). Home advantage in football in Brazil: differences between teams and the effects of distance traveled. Brazilian Journal of Soccer Science, 1(1), 3–10.

Rojas, F., & Leiva, V. (2016). Inventory management in food companies with statistically dependent demand. Academia, 29(4), 450-485.

Rojas, F., Leiva, V., Wanke, P., & Marchant, C. (2015). Optimization of contribution margins in food services by modeling independent component demand. Revista Colombiana de Estadística, 38(1), 1-30.

Saavedra, M., Gutiérrez, O., Fernández, J., & Sa Marques, P. (2015). Measuring Home Advantage In Spanish Football (1928-2011). Revista Internacional de Medicina y Ciencias de la Actividad Física y el Deporte, 15(57), 181–195.

Schwartz, B., & Barsky, S. F. (1977). The home advantage. Social Forces, 55(3), 641–661.

Seckin, A., & Pollard, R. (2008). Home advantage in Turkish professional soccer. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 107(1), 51-54.

Stasinopoulos, D. M., & Rigby, R. A. (2007). Generalized additive models for location scale and shape (GAMLSS) in R. Journal of Statistical Software, 23(7), 1-46.

Tenga, A., Holme, I., Ronglan, L. T., & Bahr, R. (2010). Effect of playing tactics on goal scoring in Norwegian professional soccer. Journal of Sports Sciences, 28(3), 37–41.

Thomas, S., Reeves, C., & Bellhome, A. (2008). Advantage in the six nations rugby union tournament. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 106(1), 113–116.

Thomas, S., Reeves, C., & Davies, S. (2004). An analysis of home advantage in the english football premiership. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 99(3), 1212–1216.

Thomas, S., Reeves, C., & Smith, A. (2006). English soccer teams’ aggressive behavior when playing away from home. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 102, 317–320.

Varca, P. E. (1980). An analysis of home and away game performance of male college basketball teams. Journal of Sport Psychology, 2(3), 245–257.

Wolfson, S., Wakelin, D., & Lewis, M. (2005). Football supporters’ perceptions of their role in the home advantage. Journal of Sports Sciences, 23(4), 365–374.


Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.